China's chemical fertilizer industry has made great progress, but also faces some structural problems. The development trend of the chemical fertilizer industry in the future is as follows.

1. the total amount of chemical fertilizer increases slowly

In order to meet the demand of agriculture, forestry, animal husbandry, fishery and industry, the total amount of chemical fertilizer will still increase, but the growth momentum will slow down. In particular, the nitrogenous fertilizer and phosphate fertilizer industries are estimated to be flat or slightly increased during the 12th Five Year Plan period, with an average annual growth rate of 1% - 2%; Due to the completion and operation of large-scale units in Xinjiang, the potash fertilizer industry will grow rapidly in terms of domestic output, but the growth potential is limited until new potassium resources are discovered.

2. industry concentration will be further improved

With the increase of merger and integration cases in the mature period and the intensification of industry competition, more large-scale comprehensive enterprises will grow up, and more and more enterprises with a production capacity of more than 10 million tons will be established. These enterprises will represent the overall level and strength of China's fertilizer industry and support more than half of the industry. Therefore, the industry concentration will be higher and higher.

3. the industry will pay more and more attention to technological progress and the improvement of major technical equipment

In the nitrogenous fertilizer industry, we will focus on developing and promoting new coal gasification technologies such as low-quality coal and high sulfur coal pressurized gasification, advanced purification and synthesis technologies such as high-efficiency and large-scale desulfurization and decarbonization, shift, gas refining, ammonia synthesis and new catalysts, and energy cascade utilization technologies; Develop and promote domestic technologies and equipment for large-scale synthetic ammonia (annual output of 450000 T and above) and urea (annual output of 800000 T and above).

The phosphate fertilizer industry focuses on the promotion of low and medium grade phosphate rock acid production technology, low and medium grade phosphate rock and collophanite beneficiation technology and reagents, phosphate rock associated resources comprehensive utilization technology, wet process phosphoric acid refining technology, fluorine recovery and high value-added fluorine product production technology, pyrite iron resource recovery and utilization technology, phosphogypsum acid production, building materials and other comprehensive utilization technology, sulfuric acid low-temperature waste heat utilization technology.

The potash fertilizer industry focuses on the research and development and promotion of comprehensive utilization technology of associated resources of potassium ore (Salt Lake), direct extraction of potassium sulfate from salt lake brine, and utilization technology of insoluble potassium resources.

The phosphorus and sulfur mine will mainly develop and promote the open-pit and underground mining technology of gently inclined medium thick phosphorus ore body, the underground mining technology of Yunnan Phosphorus Mine, the steep slope mining technology of open-pit mine, advanced mining and blasting equipment, weathered ore delineation method and scrubbing technology and equipment, as well as the comprehensive utilization technology of CO associated POLYMETALLIC PYRITE and coal measures pyrite.

4. continue to adjust and improve the product structure

The adjustment of fertilizer product structure should be based on the improvement of the production system of basic fertilizer varieties and the development of new fertilizer varieties to meet the needs of agriculture and other economic crops. According to the requirements of soil testing and formulated fertilization, special fertilizer varieties mainly in the form of compound fertilizer should be developed; From the perspective of improving fertilizer efficiency, we will focus on the development of slow-release controlled-release fertilizer, synergistic urea, organic-inorganic compound fertilizer, commercial organic fertilizer, foliar fertilizer and water-soluble fertilizer products to achieve scientific fertilization. In addition, medium and trace element fertilizers should also be developed according to the needs of crops.

5. more and more attention will be paid to resource protection and comprehensive utilization

With the implementation of China's strategy of economic restructuring and transformation of economic development mode, great attention will be paid to the protection and efficient comprehensive utilization of natural resources. The fertilizer industry is a resource processing industry, which consumes a large amount of energy and resources and requires many kinds of resources. Resource protection and efficient utilization are particularly important.

The rational planning and scientific development of resources needed for fertilizer production, such as coal, natural gas, phosphate rock, pyrite, sulfur, salt fields, etc., are the premise of resource protection and utilization. In the future, it will be the future development trend of the fertilizer industry to gradually allocate key advantageous resources to key enterprises, so as to effectively protect resources and develop and utilize resources in an orderly, reasonable and scientific manner.

The utilization of inferior coal raw materials in the nitrogen fertilizer industry will be the focus of raw material structure adjustment, and inferior coal will be used as much as possible for new projects in the future. In addition, the comprehensive utilization of hydrogen, sulfide, carbon monoxide, carbon dioxide, blowing air, exhaust gas, gasification furnace slag, waste water, waste heat and waste catalyst in the production of nitrogen fertilizer is the focus of the efficient utilization of resources in the nitrogen fertilizer industry, and also the embodiment of the development level of the industry.

In the phosphate fertilizer and sulfuric acid industry, the scientific utilization of low and medium grade phosphate rock, especially low-grade phosphate rock, the development and utilization of fluorine, silicon, magnesium, rare earth metals, etc. associated with phosphate rock resources, the scientific use of high-quality wet process phosphoric acid, the comprehensive utilization of phosphogypsum, the rational utilization of iron resources in pyrite and roasted slag, and the utilization of acid washing dilute sulfuric acid will be the focus of the comprehensive utilization of resources in the phosphate fertilizer industry.

The potash fertilizer industry is mainly aimed at the comprehensive utilization of old brine resources in salt fields, such as the extraction and processing of sodium, magnesium, lithium, boron, bromine, iodine, rubidium, cesium and other resources, which will be the utilization direction of important resources other than potash fertilizer production.

6. the combination of fertilizer and chemical fertilizer will be further deepened

While steadily developing fertilizer products, fertilizer manufacturers use raw materials, intermediate products and fertilizer products in the production process to carry out deep processing, produce high value-added fine chemical products, extend the industrial chain, and realize the combination of fertilizer and chemical industry is an important way for enterprises to improve economic benefits. Nitrogenous fertilizer enterprises use carbon monoxide, hydrogen and other products to convert to carbon-1 chemical industry to produce fine organic chemical products such as methanol and acetic acid, realize the combination of chemical fertilizer, coal chemical industry and fine organic chemical industry, and maximize economic benefits.

Phosphate fertilizer enterprises can use the important intermediate product phosphoric acid for deep processing to produce fine phosphate chemical products, realize the combination of phosphate fertilizer and phosphate chemical industry, and improve economic benefits. The by-product fluorine products in the process of phosphate fertilizer production can be processed into anhydrous hydrogen fluoride products, and then produce fluorine chemical products, such as fluorine rubber, fluorine materials, fluorine refrigerant and other fluorine fine chemical products. Its development prospect is broad. It not only produces fluorine chemical products, but also saves and protects precious fluorite resources. Potash fertilizer production enterprises can use basic potassium chloride products to transform to potash chemical industry, produce fine varieties of potash chemical industry, and realize the combination of potash fertilizer and potash chemical industry.

7. stricter environmental protection

The fertilizer industry has the possibility of environmental pollution in both production and application links. With the development of economy and the improvement of people's living standards, building an environment-friendly society is an important goal of mankind. Therefore, environmental protection will be paid more and more attention, thus putting forward higher requirements for the production and application of chemical fertilizers.

The environmental protection of the fertilizer industry should be combined with the development of circular economy. The main work is as follows: first, in the aspect of resource development and utilization, the development of phosphate rock resources, sulfur resources and potassium resources should be planned as a whole, so as to realize scientific development and comprehensive utilization, and improve the development and utilization level of medium and low-grade phosphate rock, pyrite and potassium associated resources; Second, in terms of fertilizer production, advanced technology and equipment are used to carry out energy-saving and consumption reduction technological transformation, so as to reduce waste and improve resource utilization efficiency; Third, in terms of comprehensive utilization, the emissions from the production process of chemical fertilizer, such as blowing air, exhaust gas, coal cinder, slag, coal powder, phosphogypsum, fluoride, etc., are reused to realize waste recycling; Fourth, in terms of fertilizer application, we should vigorously promote scientific fertilization, establish a multi variety, small batch and professional fertilizer secondary processing system, cooperate with agricultural departments to promote soil testing Fertilization and formula fertilization, improve fertilizer utilization, reduce resource waste and the impact of fertilizer application on the environment.

8. the cancellation of preferential policies will be the general trend

China's fertilizer industry is a mature industry, and the overall competition situation has been formed. According to the needs of the economic development situation, the macro-control of China's fertilizer industry should gradually change from giving preferential policies and administrative regulation to accelerating the construction of effective fertilizer production capacity, improving supply capacity, cultivating competitiveness, improving fertilizer reserve system and marketing system, and enhancing market regulation means, and gradually transition to the full market of fertilizer. The preferential policies enjoyed by the fertilizer industry for many years should be gradually abolished with the acceleration of the marketization process, forming a comprehensive competition pattern, so as to ensure the healthy and benign development of the industry.